CNY Winter Weather Predictions – Why Bother?

We've seen forecast predictions for this winter, but it looks like the latest guesses have the Farmer's Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac bumping heads.

Of course, these predictions aren't based on real scientific forecasting models, but lots of folks consider these sources to be the Gospel truth. So let's look at both outlooks.

The Farmer's Almanac has been calling for a "cold, snowy" winter across New York State and most of the Northeast. In general, they say we will be getting above average precipitation and it looks like it will be mostly snow.

Meanwhile The Old Farmer's Almanac says we can expect a mild winter, but definitely wet and snowy. It also show above average snowfall for areas just east of Central New York.

Do you believe either source to be more accurate than the other? We're not exactly sure what they base their predictions on, but there is a lot of science that goes into actual meteorological forecasting. And we all know how accurate current weather forecasts are, so it really is anyone's guess what the weather might be like in Central New York by January and February. Looking at the seasonal outlook from the Climate Prediction Center of the National Weather Service isn't much help - they're calling for temperatures and precipitation to be near normal for our region. NORMAL - what does that even mean anymore? Looks like we'll have to wait and experience it for ourselves.

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